Wednesday, December 31, 2014

House Committee Votes to Block SIFI Designations

The House Financial Services Committee today reported to the House floor along party lines two bills that would effectively shut down the operations of the Federal Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) for at least the next year.

The bills were passed by a 32-27 party line vote today.

However, analysts give long odds that these bills will become law.

It responds to concerns by MetLife specifically, and the money management and mutual fund industries in general, that designation of firms in their sectors as systemically important would be harmful and could make these companies uncompetitive.

They were pushed through the committee by conservative members who believe in less regulation, led by Rep. Jeb Hensarling, R-Texas, chairman of the committee, and Rep. Scott Garrett, R-N.J., who heads the panel’s Capital Markets Subcommittee.

One bill, H.R. 4881, would bar the FSOC from designating any systemically significant financial institutions for a year.

The chief sponsor of that bill, Rep. Randy Neugebauer, R-Texas, chairman of the Housing and Insurance Subcommittee, said in support of it Thursday that “I strongly believe that FSOC’s structure and its process for designating systemically important firms are fatally flawed.”

He said that, “Rather than using data, history, and economic analysis to justify SIFI designations, FSOC has used far-fetched, highly speculative ‘worst-case scenarios’ to justify an aggressive expansion of regulatory power from Washington.”

And, Neugebauer added, recent evidence shows that rather than making its own determinations about the systemic significance of large U.S. non-bank financial institutions, the FSOC has instead rubber-stamped decisions made by the G-20’s Financial Stability Board.”

Rep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., ranking minority member of the committee, railed against it during Thursday’s debate.

“Under the guise of concerns about transparency, Republicans want the FSOC to halt its work, even if it has identified a firm that poses a risk to the economy, a threat to my constituents who want to buy a house, a car, or simply purchase groceries at the store.  /* .premium-promo { border: 1px solid #ddd; padding: 10px; margin: 0 10px 10px 0; width: 200px; float: left; } .premium-promo li, .premium-promo ul { list-style-type: none; margin: 0; padding: 0; } .premium-promo li { margin: 0 0 10px; padding: 0 0 10px; border-bottom: 1px dotted #ddd; } .premium-promo h3 { text-transform: uppercase; font-size: 11px; } .premium-promo h4 { font-size: 16px; } .premium-promo a { text-decoration: none !important; } .premium-promo .btn { background: #0069a1; border-radius: 4px; display: inline-block; padding: 5px 10px; clear: both; color: #fff; font-weight: bold; } .premium-promo .btn:hover { background: #034c92; } */ “No, this is not a good-faith effort to increase transparency, because ultimately my colleagues on the other side of the aisle want to end the FSOC altogether,” Waters added. 

The other bill, H.R. 4387, would allow all members of the commissions and boards represented on the FSOC — such as the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Federal Reserve, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, and the National Credit Union Administration — to attend and participate in the FSOC’s meetings.

The bill also requires that before the principal of a Commission or Board represented on the FSOC votes as an FSOC member on an issue before the FSOC, the Commission or Board must vote on the issue, and the principal must follow that vote at the FSOC meeting.

The bill permits Members of the Committee on Financial Services and the Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs to attend all FSOC meetings, whether or not the meeting is open to the public.

In introducing the bill, Garrett said that, “The council meets in secret, refuses to disclose substantive transcripts, and blocks any requests by other regulators or Members of Congress for a more open and transparent process.” In April, Garrett was denied access to an FSOC meeting.

He noted the “tremendous changes” that the FSOC is considering in the way capital and credit are allocated and said “it is imperative these changes are not carried out in secret or behind closed doors.”

In debate on the bills Thursday, Waters said that Garrett’s bill politicizes membership by adding regulators’ commissioners and board members into the mix and that giving the committee members access to closed-door meetings on systemic risk might be unconstitutional. 

“We are not dealing with a good-faith effort to address many of the transparency concerns a bipartisan group of members have raised,” Waters said. “Rather, this is an effort by Republicans to make the FSOC decision-making impossibly difficult.”  

The bill’s immediate impact would likely be on the designation of MetLife as a systemically significant financial institution or SIFI. MetLife is in Stage III or the final stage, of the SIFI designation process. MetLife has been lobbying against designation as a SIFI for more than a year, and the FSOC has responded by slowing its decision-making process on MetLife to ensure it has all its ducks in a row before making a decision.

But, it would also impact money market mutual funds and money managers, who have been notified they are under scrutiny for possible designation as SIFIs.

The FSOC report noted that mortgage servicers and mortgage REITs are also being eyed for possible designation as SIFIs.

The FSOC already has designated three non-banks — American International Group, General Electric Capital Corp. and Prudential Financial, Inc. — as SIFIs.

The spotlight turned on money managers last September when an FSOC report prepared by the Treasury Department's Office of Financial Research identified activities of 20 of the largest U.S. money managers as possible sources of risk.

And, at the annual meeting of the Investment Company Institute May 21, Paul Schott Stevens, president and CEO, said that designating mutual funds as SIFIs “would impair the single best tool available to average Americans for retirement saving and individual investment — as well as a key source of financing in our economy.”

Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew heads the FSOC, which was created by the Dodd-Frank financial services reform law. A spokesman for the Treasury Department declined to comment.

Music is hot, iPad not as Apple hosts developers

SAN FRANCISCO — As Apple hosts its annual gathering of software developers in San Francisco next week, music has become a bigger part of the company's growth story this year than iPads and Macs.

And Apple's hottest-selling product right now – doing better even than the iPhone – is the hardware maker's own stock.

The company's move in April to boost dividend payouts and stock buybacks by tens of billions of dollars and split Apple shares 7-for-1 showed that CEO Tim Cook has a good grasp on marketing to Wall Street.

Apple shares are up 15% this year, more than tripling the return of the Nasdaq Composite Index, and have surged 40% in the last 12 months.

Yet marketing to Main Street has been more of a challenge, as smartphone growth has slowed and tablet sales are going in reverse.

While iPhone revenue rose 14 percent for the quarter ended in March, that's well below the overall market growth rate of 23 percent expected for all of this year by market researcher IDC.

The numbers show how much Apple has already missed of the market for smartphones with extra-large screens, which Samsung and other Asian rivals have used to take share.

Meanwhile, iPad revenue fell 13% in the latest period, dragging down the company's top-line growth rate to just under 5%, year-over-year.

Unless Cook can re-ignite iPad sales – where revenue fell 2% (year-over-year) for the six months ended in March – Apple's $3 billion acquisition of Beats Audio (and Beats Music) will be important to the company's growth prospects.

Make no mistake, Apple's revenue growth this year will depend mostly on how good a new smartphone it puts on the market for the crucial back-to-school and holiday shopping seasons.

With iPhone sales at $26 billion for the March quarter, smartphones contributed 57% of Apple's total sales.

Yet Cook will need to squeeze more out of some other product area to keep growth investors happy.

Given the company's recent sales figures – and the pe! nding Beats deal – music hardware, songs and related apps could be the best candidates.

Including music and apps revenue, iTunes sales rose 11% during the most recent period to $4.6 billion, and now make up 10% of Apple's total sales.

That's almost as much as sales of Macs, which contributed 12% of revenue at $5.5 billion, and where growth is in the single digits.

Software sales are also gaining in size relative to tablet sales, which (as noted above) dropped big-time last quarter and now represent just 17% of Apple's top line, at $7.6 billion.

Reviving iPad growth ultimately will depend on creating an ecosystem of apps that is deep and wide enough to keep attracting mobile consumers to the Apple platform.

To do that, Cook needs to inspire software developers inside and outside the company to come up with some hits.

If they want to attach themselves to Apple's most promising growth story right now, following Cook's lead into music might be one way to do it.

John Shinal has covered tech and financial markets for more than 15 years at Bloomberg, BusinessWeek,The San Francisco Chronicle, Dow Jones MarketWatch, Wall Street Journal Digital Network and others. Follow him on Twitter: @johnshinal.

Tuesday, December 30, 2014

Market Hustle: Stocks Rise Despite Poor China Manufacturing Data; Bank Stocks Fall

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- U.S. stocks were slipping Monday as manufacturing in China contracted and tensions in Ukraine rose. Key bank stocks were lower.


WATCH: More market update videos on TheStreet TV | More videos from Debra Borchardt The Dow Jones Industrial Average was 0.07% lower to 16,501.91 while the S&P 500 was down 0.04% to 1,880.47. The Nasdaq slipped 0.06% to 4,121.4. Economic data was broadly positive. The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index beat expectations with an April result of 55.2, up from 53.1 in March. The Markit PMI services index was 55 in April down from 55.3 in March as job creation fell to a 13-month low. The result beat flash estimates of 54.2.  "The ISM non-manufacturing index is consistent with GDP growth of about 2.5% annualised, but we wouldn't be surprised to see it strengthen further over the next few months and we currently expect that second-quarter GDP growth will be as high as 3.5%," Capital Economics chief U.S. economist Paul Ashworth told clients.  Pfizer (PFE) was dropping 2.5% after it reported first-quarter earnings of 57 cents a share on revenue of $11.29 billion, missing analysts' estimates on the top-line The earnings announcement arrived after AstraZeneca  (AZN) on Friday rejected Pfizer's sweetened bid that values AstraZeneca at $106 billion. Target (TGT) shares were shedding nearly 3% after CEO Gregg Steinhafel resigned on Monday, with Chief Financial Officer John Mulligan replacing him on an interim basis. The company had an embarrassing data breach over the holidays. JPMorgan  (JPM) was falling 2.6% after it said on Friday that revenue in fixed-income and equities trading would drop about 20% from a year earlier. Goldman Sachs (GS) and Bank of America (BAC) were also lower, down 1.8% and 1.3%, respectively. Sotheby's (BID) was up 1.8% after agreeing Monday to give Daniel Loeb's hedge fund Third Point LLC board seats and the option to lift his stake.  Tensions in Ukraine heightened over the weekend as pro-Russian militants burst into a Ukrainian police station in Odessa on Sunday, freeing about 70 activists. The DAX in Germany closed 0.28% lower and the Hong Kong Hang Seng was down 1.28%. Markets in London and Tokyo were closed for public holidays. Manufacturing in China contracted in April for the fourth straight month, according to the HSBC's purchasing managers' index released on Monday. U.S. stocks closed lower Friday, erasing early gains after April's jobs report showed a falling work force participation rate. -- By Jane Searle and Keris Alison Lahiff in New York

Stock quotes in this article: ^DJI, ^GSPC, ^IXIC, PFE, AZN, TGT, JPM, GS, BAC, BID 

Monday, December 29, 2014

A Speculative Biotech Catalyst Trade: ORMP

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- The recent selloff in the biotech sector hasn't left much behind. Type just about any biotech ticker into your screens and you'll likely get back an ugly chart. The bears have done damage to a hot sector that's often driven by momentum players -- which should be of no surprise to seasoned traders. Momentum cuts both ways on Wall Street. It's not just a bull's playground.

>>5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar

The recent pummeling of the biotech sector has some people on Wall Street claiming that the entire complex is in a bubble, and there is absolutely some truth to that. The iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology Index ETF (IBB) soared from $83.50 a share in mid-2011 to its 2014 high of $275.40 a share. That's an incredible run, and there's no doubt in my mind that the biotech sector entered the frothy stage. As we all know, on Wall Street, bulls make money, bear make money, but pigs get slaughtered.

That being said, the sector could be setting up for a tradable bounce soon, and many of the beaten-down names will rebound sharply to the upside. Remember, the smart short-sellers don't stay in the game long without taking profits -- and when they come in to cover their short positions, many of these beaten-down stocks will get squeezed higher as the bulls take back control, at least temporarily.

>>5 Big Trades to Brace for a Correction

With this in mind, it's time to start identifying some of these beaten-down biotech stocks that could be ripe for big rebounds.

One small-cap biotech stock that's been beaten down and pushed into extremely oversold territory is Israeli-based Oramed Pharmaceuticals (ORMP), a development-stage pharmaceutical company that's engaged in the research and development of pharmaceutical solutions for the use of orally ingestible capsules of pills for delivery of polypeptides. The company's product portfolio includes ORMD-0801, an oral insulin capsule that is in phase IIa clinical trials for the treatment of diabetes; and ORMD-0901, an analog for GLP-1 gastrointestinal hormone, which is in pre-clinical trials.


Oramed Pharmaceuticals has a market cap of $108 million and an enterprise value of $93 million. This company currently has $7.79 million of cash on its balance sheet and around $47,000 of debt. This is a highly speculative biotech stock that has about 11 employees, no approved product on the market and zero revenue. If you're a fundamental investor, then this stock is probably not for you. However, if you're a trader like me, then this could be the perfect stock to play in the near-term for a variety of reasons.

>>5 Stocks With Big Insider Buying

The first reason I am bringing this name to you is because Oramed Pharmaceuticals is insanely beaten-down at its current price of just above $11 a share, down 27% so far in 2014. To get the true picture of how far this stock has dropped, though, look at its chart: ORMP hit a high in January of $31.73 a share and crashed to a March 24 low of of $9.64 share. Anyone who held this stock all the way down from those highs truly knows the meaning of oversold. Yes, oversold can always get more oversold, and obviously a stock doesn't crash that badly for no reason at all. That being said, ORMP did not go down on Thursday as the market slid lower, and it's held up relatively well the last few trading sessions while the market has been in turmoil.

The second reason that Oramed Pharmaceuticals looks interesting here from a trading perspective is because this company has a major catalyst on the horizon. It will be presenting detailed results from its recently completed phase IIa FDA trial on ORMD-0801 at the 2014 Diabetes Summit taking place April 23 to April 25 in Boston. I have no idea if the results will be good, but what I can easily foresee is the stock running up into that event off its extremely oversold condition.

The third reason I like ORMP here from a trading perspective is because the stock is heavily shorted. The current short interest as a percentage of the float from ORMP is pretty high at 11.6%. According to the most recent data, ORMP has a tradable float of 7.63 million shares and 886,000 of those shares are sold short by the bears. This is the type of situation that's begging for a squeeze since we have a significant catalyst that's less than a month away.

>>Beat the S&P in 2014 With the Stocks Everyone Else Hates

The final reason I like ORMP from a trading standpoint here is because a major shareholder just bought 75,000 shares, or above $796,000 worth of stock, at $10.62 per share. This same beneficial owner, Regals Capital Management, also bought 51,000 shares, or about $800,000 worth of stock, at $14.96 per share in early February. A major holder of ORMP shares is in the market buying stock right now -- that should be enough to make any trader take notice.

All things considered, this is a situation that could produce a monster short squeeze as the catalyst for ORMP gets closer. Remember, this is a trading opportunity I am highlighting here -- nothing more and nothing less -- but it's an opportunity that I think could potentially bank big dollars if ORMP can start to trend in the right direction and soon.

From a technical perspective, this stock has started to find support right around its intraday low from its previous gap-up-day zone from last December that took the stock from $6.83 to almost $14 a share. Shares of ORMP are bouncing sideways here right above the 200-day moving average, and the stock is starting to trend within range of triggering a major breakout trade. That trade will hit if ORMP manages to take out some near-term overhead resistance levels at $11.80 to $12 a share and then $12.50 a share with high volume Look for volume on that move that hits near or above its three-month average action of 734,136 shares.

Traders can look to buy ORMP off weakness as long as it's trending above its 200-day moving average at $10.25 or above its recent low of $9.64, or look to buy it off strength once it clears those breakout levels with strong volume. Keep in mind that I would want nothing to do with this stock from the long side if it broke below $9.64 with volume, since then the risk would be that ORMP could fill the gap that started at $6.83 last December.

If this stock does break out soon, then it could easily squeeze big and tag $14 to $15 a share or even $16 to $18 a share. The upper end of these targets would not be hard to hit, considering how oversold and heavily shorted ORMP is, so keep this name on your trading radar.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>4 Stocks Triggering Breakouts on Big Volume



>>3 Hot Stocks to Trade (or Not)



>>5 Hated Earnings Stocks You Should Love

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com. You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


I’m Selling Sandridge Mississippian Trust II

Oscar Wilde once said that experience is the name we give to our mistakes. My investment in Sandridge Mississippian Trust II (NYSE: SDR  ) has been the greatest experience of my Special Situations portfolio. But in investing, as in life, to be successful you must make the next right decision, rather than foolishly holding to a past commitment that has been proven wrong. So I've decided to sell my shares in this troubled royalty trust and move on to find a good investment. (I've got a good one here.)

Ouch, that hurts
This investment has been painful, mitigated only by the relatively small stake I took and the ongoing stream of distributions. I purchased shortly after the IPO at $22.20 per share. It was all downhill from there.

After Thursday's close, the stock is down to $7.34, or about 67%. The only salve is the cash distributions totaling $4.25. The overall return comes to -48%. Bad work if you can get it.

It's the second year in a row that the trust has recorded a significant downward revision in reserves. Increasingly the trust is relying on selling natural gas and liquids, as opposed to oil, as previously indicated in the prospectus. That is lowering royalties, which hurts cash distributions over time.

Foolish takeaway
With little reason to expect things to change now, I'm selling Sandridge Mississippian Trust II and will move the proceeds into other stocks that have a good shot at outperformance.

Interested in Sandridge Mississippian Trust II or have another stock to share? Check out my discussion board or follow me on Twitter @TMFRoyal.

Sunday, December 28, 2014

Dow Sheds 175 Points as China Fears Rock Stocks

A week of calm turned stormy for the major stock indexes, as American Express (AXP), Boeing (BA), Visa (V), Noble Corp. (NE) and Johnson Controls (JCI) tumbled.

Associated Press

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 175.99 points, or 1.1%, to 16,197.35 today while the S&P 500 fell 0.9% to 1,828.46. American Express fell 2.2% to $89.17, Boeing declined 2.1% to $141.31 after it said it was hiring more workers in South Carolina, and Visa dropped 2% to $228.25 after Nieman Marcus said 1.1 million credit cards be at risk from a “malware” attack. Noble Corp. has fell 8.6% to $33.13 after it met earnings forecasts but said that there could be a pause in offshore activity, while Johnson Controls has dropped 4.4% to $49.30 after it offered lower earnings guidance.

Initial jobless claims rose to 326,000 today, but if you’re looking for  reason for the selling, how about taking a look at China? The Lindsey Group’s Peter Boockvar explains what happened:

The mood of the market changed at 8:45 est time last night after China's HSBC preliminary January manufacturing PMI fell below 50 to 49.6, a 6 month low from 50.5. The estimate was 50.3 and saw declines in new orders, exports, employment and backlogs. In addition to a drop in the Shanghai index in response, Hong Kong, Japan, Australia, Taiwan, South Korea, Singapore and Malaysia all closed lower. While there is a lot of optimism for global growth in 2014, the picture still looks muddied, especially in emerging markets which is where the real growth alpha has come from.

The upshot: No China, no global synchronized recovery. And if there’s no global recovery, investors have to wonder whether the U.S. can continue to do much of the heavy lifting on its own.

The answer today: No.

Shop for groceries? OK. Throw a party? Sure. Drive a client to Mexico? No problem

practice management, extreme, adviser

Would you spend five days helping a client drive to Mexico? How about completing hours of passport paperwork for clients headed to Italy, or shredding a car-full of old documents?

Advisers have done all these and more to “wow” their top clients.

Successful advisers pull out all the stops when it comes to pleasing clients, and consultants say that kind of personal touch — for no extra fee — is needed if advisers want to create clients for life who refer lots of friends and relatives.

While many wealth management firms offer “concierge” services such as evaluating an assisted living facility and even negotiating the sale and purchase of a new home, some clients put no limits on making a client happy.

“Nothing is off the table with us,” said Steve Hutchinson, founder of Hutchinson Private Wealth and Hutchinson Family Office. “If a client is truly a good client and we enjoy working with them, I can't recall us ever saying no.”

When a top client asked him to ride along from Dallas to the client's vacation home in San Jose del Cabo, Mexico — a 1,600-mile international journey in a Ford Explorer — Mr. Hutchinson said he didn't think twice about accepting.

“That's a long time to spend in a car with a client,” Mr. Hutchinson said. “You are either both going to fire each other by the end, or you'll enjoy a long-term relationship.”

Some of the other things Mr. Hutchinson has done for clients aren't as radical, but do show efforts above and beyond handling investments, such as providing a car and driver for a widow during the three or four days after her husband's death.

“We instill in our team the importance of thinking of ways to throw out a random act of kindness every day or even once a week,” he said.

Mr. Hutchinson's staff has ordered clients a subscription to the magazines they enjoyed in the office and grocery shopped for older clients during inclement weather.

Every year after tax season, financial adviser Todd VanDenburg of VanDenburg Capital Management hires a paper-shredding truck to come to the office parking lot so clients and other professionals he works with can safely destroy old documents.

He recalls one year helping a client who brought an entire car full of old documents from a family-run medical practice that needed to be shredded.

Mr. VanDenburg said he doesn't discriminate by providing individualized service only to his wealthiest client.

“I want to! give equally great service to all our clients,” he said.

Advisers today are pretty much expected to provide clients — especially the wealthiest ones — with personal touches like cards for birthdays, anniversaries and a grandkid's arrival.

But throw the happy couple a surprise anniversary party and that's an experience they're likely to brag about to friends, said Robert Sofia, co-founder of Platinum Advisor Strategies.

“You have to be a little over the top to make an impression so people will talk about you,” Mr. Sofia said.

He works with advisers to help them make their clients feel special, from having parking spaces available just for clients, to having the receptionist know clients by name and remember precisely what their drink preferences were at their last meeting, he said.

Todd McDonald of Broadstone Advisors said his staff completed all the passport paperwork for clients planning a trip to Italy just to “make their life a little easier.” A package arrived at the couple's doorstep two days after he had spoken to them about the trip. It contained all the paperwork ready for their signatures and instructions on where to go for passport photos.

The gesture drew raves.

“You don't know how much your stock rose in my wife's eyes when we received that package,” the husband told Mr. McDonald.

Saturday, December 27, 2014

Market Disruption Seen Sign of Times After Nasdaq Mishap

Disruptions such as last month's three-hour shutdown by the Nasdaq Stock Market will never be completely preventable and U.S. regulators shouldn't make perfection their goal, according to a Bloomberg Global Poll.

While U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Mary Jo White urged efforts to strengthen markets following the Nasdaq mishap, 35 percent of those surveyed say regulators shouldn't try to enforce zero-fault tolerance in equity markets, eight percentage points more than those who say they should, according to the global poll of investors, analysts and traders who are Bloomberg subscribers.

"Market participants need to understand, as do the regulators, that nothing is perfect and there will occasionally be problems, but that's part of the evolution of the capital market," respondent Kevin Divney, chief investment officer at Beaconcrest Capital Management LLC in Boston, said in a phone interview. "If the regulators put too high a penalty on the market structure, they could impede innovations."

Nasdaq's shutdown on Aug. 22 underscored how quickly order in the U.S. stock market can be subverted as requests to buy and sell shares are matched on more than 50 exchanges and alternative venues around the country. The outage, the latest in a series of failures to disrupt increasingly complex markets, prompted the SEC to push exchanges to improve the reliability of their technology.

Speed Limits

In the poll, respondents were divided on whether regulators should slow down the speed of trading, with 43 percent opposing such rules and 42 percent supporting them.

U.S. stock exchanges now quote the reaction time of their systems in microseconds to accommodate the computers at high-frequency and algorithmic trading firms, who have replaced humans in much of the American equity market. Concern over the pace of trading intensified following the May 2010 plunge, known as the flash crash, that erased about $862 billion of value in minutes. Malfunctions at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in August and Knight Capital Group Inc. 13 months ago heightened concern about the reliability of markets.

One solution might be introducing a small delay in trading, said Donald Selkin of National Securities Corp., a brokerage and investment firm.

Pooling Orders

"Incoming orders -- instead of a first-in, first-out situation where the fastest computers would get priority -- should instead be batched or bunched together and thus dealt with in random order, thereby insuring greater equality in terms of execution," he said. "Trading would take place as usual, but with some very small delays in order to ensure a more equitable order of execution."

The May 2010 crash prompted the SEC to mandate trading curbs meant to prevent losses in any single stock from sparking panic. The curbs transitioned this year to a system known as limit-up/limit-down, which mandates that traders only quote stock prices in designated bands around the current price.

This week, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission sought comments from the industry on potentially restricting high-speed and algorithmic derivatives trading.

"I fundamentally disagree with anything that impedes the price discovery process," Simon Batten, the founder and chief executive officer at Ermine Capital Management LP in Stamford, Connecticut, wrote in an e-mail. Ermine invests in equities, currencies and fixed income.

Lehman Collapse

Five years after the failure of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc., respondents were split on whether U.S. regulators are well prepared to deal with the collapse of a major financial company. Half of the respondents considered regulators "mostly prepared" though some government assistance might be needed. Thirty-five percent said regulators are "mostly unprepared."

While the amount of capital at the six largest U.S. lenders has almost doubled since 2008, some critics say that's not enough. They see a system still too leveraged, complicated and interconnected to withstand a panic, and regulators ill-equipped to head one off -- the same conditions that led to the last crisis.

"I don't know that we've ever gotten to a conclusion to 'too big to fail,' or any of these key concepts," Tim Hartzell, who helps manage about $425 million as chief investment officer at Sequent Asset Management in Houston, said in a phone interview. "There are so many derivatives contracts that I don't think the federal government really has a full grasp of what's out there."

Lehman's bankruptcy in September 2008 triggered the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression and forced the U.S. government to bail out the financial industry.

Reg NMS

Nasdaq halted trading in all of its listed stocks on Aug. 22 out of concern a connectivity problem in the price feed, known as securities information processor, would cause uneven dissemination of prices in the market. The disruption snowballed when a software flaw prevented Nasdaq's backup program from kicking in.

A six-year-old rule known as Reg NMS requires U.S. equity exchanges to route trades to the venue with the best price. As competition intensified, exchanges introduced different order types to lure business. The ensuing complexity poses the biggest challenge to ensuring systems run without failing, Nasdaq OMX Chief Financial Officer Lee Shavel said at a conference on Sept. 10.

"It has created an environment that is inherently difficult to maintain consistency from a technology standpoint," he said.

'Impossible Concept'

In the latest attempt to strengthen the fragmented U.S. equity market, White held private talks with exchange executives yesterday to discuss improvements in systems for distributing price data.

"To have all computers operate seamlessly and impeccably in sometimes a volatile environment, I think it's an impossible concept," said Bryant Saydah, vice president of institutional equity trading at Juda Group Inc. in Los Angeles.

The survey of 900 Bloomberg customers was conducted Sept. 10 by Selzer & Co., a Des Moines, Iowa-based pollster. The results carry a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points.

Friday, December 26, 2014

A systematic approach to investing

Wealth Creation is a long unending story which goes on to decades. The investors should carefully select the asset class i.e. Equity, Debt, Commodities etc. Historically, the data suggests that equity has returned better than any other asset class. Nevertheless, most of the retail investors don't have the expertise in selecting the right stocks and end up in making random investments.

Systematic approach does wonders.

First of all one should be able to come to an asset allocation plan based on his or her risk appetite, investment period, age, liquidity needs, quantum and few other personalised parameters.

SIP

No doubt Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) does wonders in creating assets especially for retail investors who can't commit large funds at a time and don't have expertise in finance domain. Till now, SIP is concentrated on Mutual Funds as Fund Managers offer to sell them units on a regular basis which also helps in taming the market volatility. At any point of time, investment in Mutual Fund works better than Direct Stock investment as the former helps in diversifying the risks and you get an opportunity to own small part of different shares across a large domain.

SIP in Equity

Now, the market is buzz with an SIP in Equity. A person confident with stock selection for a longer horizon can bring the discipline for investment in shares. The question arises ' do you buy more of your favourite stocks when the market nosedived or do you sell your equity holdings before the market plunged? It is very difficult to predict the market; so a systematic approach would be to invest in small amounts through SIPs.

How to go with it?

Similar to SIP in Mutual Funds, the investors also commit small amount every month/fortnight/week. Investors can also commit the fixed number of shares every month. So, on the trigger date, the broker would buy the number of stocks out of your committed amount every month or buys the fixed number of shares of said company. Generally, the minimum commitment amount is Rs 5,000 per month.

Which is better ' Fixed Amount or Fixed Number of Shares?

Let us suppose, you are interested in buying a stock A at the current market price of Rs. 950. Either you can commit Rs 5,000 each month where the broker would buy the shares at the prevailing market price on the predefined investment date else you can also ask your broker to buy five shares each month. The latter option won't help much in getting benefit from low stock prices. If the price of stock comes down, you won't be able to get benefit of low stock prices. However, in the former option, the benefit of average cost averaging plays which helps in buying more number of shares when the stock tumbles.

Is it good ' SIP in Shares?

If you are comfortable in picking good stocks, it can do wonders in creating wealth for you. Direct investment requires active investment approach and you need to keep a tab of flow of news including company performance; hence, SIP in shares should not be done blindly on a predefined date without tracking it. However, if one chooses good stocks initially, say the market bellwethers in their domain and has good long-term growth potential, it can outperform the Nifty basket.

Costs involved

Buying shares at any point of time involves paying transaction costs which goes in the range of 0.5% to 1% depending upon the volume. Apart from this, you also pay Account Maintenance Charges (AMC) which ranges from Rs. 300 to Rs. 1,000. So, depending upon the investment amount, these costs can be averaged out. If one commits high investment amount every month, the initial transaction costs plus the AMC can be averaged out over a period of time.

Good to go with it

There is an appetite for equity investments in India. SIP empowers the investors to build portfolio over a longer period of time. The disciplined approach in SIP eliminates the risk of timing of market. So a systematic approach of investing in highest yielding asset i.e. Equity can do wonders in building assets for your future.

Happy Investing!

Thursday, December 25, 2014

Why TICC Capital Is Poised to Outperform

Based on the aggregated intelligence of 180,000-plus investors participating in Motley Fool CAPS, the Fool's free investing community, closed-end asset manager TICC Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: TICC  ) has earned a respected four-star ranking.

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at TICC and see what CAPS investors are saying about the stock right now.

TICC facts

Headquarters (founded)

Greenwich, Conn. (2003)

Market Cap

$523.3 million

Industry

Asset management

Trailing-12-Month Revenue

$74.8 million

Management

CEO Jonathan Cohen (since 2003)
COO Saul Rosenthal (since 2003)

Return on Equity (average, past 3 years)

14.2%

Cash / Debt

$60.2 million / $390.1 million

Dividend Yield

11.7%

Sources: S&P Capital IQ and Motley Fool CAPS.

On CAPS, 97% of the 292 members who have rated TICC believe the stock will outperform the S&P 500 going forward.   

Just yesterday, one of those Fools, All-Star arisktaker, tapped TICC as a particularly attractive income opportunity:

[C]urrently paying an 11.69% dividend. Closed-end investment company. Provides capital to non-public, small & medium-sized, technology companies. Company also has warrants of other equity instruments [in] some of the companies it lends to. No insider purchases or sales in the last 12 months. Should do well in a recovering economy.

If you want market-thumping returns, you need to put together the best portfolio you can. Of course, despite a strong four-star rating, TICC may not be your top choice. If that's the case, we've compiled a special free report for investors called "Secure Your Future With 9 Rock-Solid Dividend Stocks," which uncovers several other juicy income opportunities. The report is 100% free, but it won't be around forever, so click here to access it now.

Thursday's Top Upgrades (and Downgrades)

This series, brought to you by Yahoo! Finance, looks at which upgrades and downgrades make sense, and which ones investors should act on. Today, our headlines include upgrades for both Con-way (NYSE: CNW  ) and Beazer Homes (NYSE: BZH  ) . But the news isn't all good, so before we get to those two, let's take a quick look at why...

Interactive Intelligence isn't looking so smart today
After seeing their shares double in stock price over the past year, early investors in Interactive Intelligence  (NASDAQ: ININ  ) were looking pretty smart -- but according to one analyst, they shouldn't let success go to their heads. Calling a top on InIn's run to $50, analysts at Northland Securities announced they're downgrading the stock to "market perform" and rolling back their price target on the stock to $46.

That seems prudent. After all, InIn shares now sell for a lofty 475 times earnings. To put that another way, if profits were to remain at today's levels, and not grow at all, you could buy a share today and not make back your investment for... 475 years. Even with recent medical advances in human lifespan, that seems an imprudent investment plan.

Granted, most analysts do think Interactive Intelligence's profits will grow -- but only at about 15% per year over the next five years. That growth rate moves InIn's share price from the realm of the imprudent, to that of the fantastical.

Honestly, the only question I have for Northland today is why they're stopping at a downgrade to "market perform." At these prices, I'm about as certain as I can be that this stock will in fact underperform the market from here on out.

Can Con-way hit the highway?
I'm more intrigued by our second rating of the day, BB&T Capital's upgrade of trucker Con-way.

BB&T is only upping the stock to hold, from a previous rating of underweight. But with the stock costing 23 times earnings, expected to grow earnings at nearly 19% annually, and paying a 1.1% dividend, Con-way actually looks to me like one of the less egregiously overpriced stocks on the market today. It's also generating positive free cash flow -- a fact not every trucker in the country can claim these days.

That being said, the levels of free cash that Con-way is churning out still remain a bit low for my taste -- about $25 million over the past year, versus reported GAAP net income of $93 million. When you get right down to it, Con-way may be one of the better trucking companies out there, but that still doesn't make it a good stock to buy.

Bummed about Beazer
Sadly, our third stock today is yet another story of disappointment, too-high expectations, and too little opportunity for profit: Beazer Homes.

This morning, analysts at CRT Capital upgraded shares of Beazer to buy, and set a $29 price target on the stock. Try as I might, though, I just don't see how Beazer shares can get there.

The company's not profitable. Beazer lost $146 million over the past 12 months. It's not generating cash. Instead, Beazer burned through nearly $26 million over the same period. Beazer also has a weak balance sheet, burdened with more than $1 billion in net debt. And to top it all off, Beazer isn't even growing all that fast. Analysts have the company pegged for a 4% average growth rate over the next five years.

Sequoias grow faster than that.

Long story short, Beazer is a stock I'd rather be short, than long.

Motley Fool contributor Rich Smith has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Interactive Intelligence.

link

Wednesday, December 24, 2014

A "Dividend Vault" Stock That's Raised Payments 50% In 3 Months

This is the perfect example of why everyone should be investing in the "Dividend Vault"...

For those of you who don't know, the Dividend Vault is an idea coined by StreetAuthority co-founder Paul Tracy. He's been telling investors for months about how corporate America has been stockpiling billions of dollars -- more than $1.7 trillion total -- since the Great Recession, and now that the economy has stabilized, many companies are about to start spending this cash. 

This is a big deal. $1.7 trillion is more money than the gross domestic product of 180 countries. It's also enough money to give every retiree in the United States a check for $42,500. 

Some companies might pour cash into capital improvements or purchases, while others may be looking to spend on research and development. But a handful of companies will be using their cash to make payments directly to shareholders in the form of dividends and stock buybacks.

Fortunately, it's not too late to get in on this big giveaway.

Let me explain... 

Dividend stocks are back in style, and companies are starting to realize that many investors won't even consider buying a stock unless it pays a dividend. That's why 2012 set a record for dividend payments, and 2013 is forecast to break that record. 

By investing in companies with large cash hoards, or "Dividend Vaults," you're buying solid companies with the ability to grow their dividend, buy back shares and pay special dividends. 

Today, I'm going to reveal one of our favorite "Dividend Vault" stocks. It's a perfect example of a stock that could pay you huge amounts of cash today and for many years to come.

Since StreetAuthority Daily first mentioned the "Dividend Vault" idea back in late January, one stock from our list of 13 has already paid two dividends and returned 8.86%... and that's in just a little more than three months. On top of that, analysts at Oppenheimer said last week that they expect this stock to jump another 26% this year. 

The company I'm talking about is none other than petroleum refiner HollyFrontier Corp. (NYSE: HFC). 

What makes HollyFrontier so special? For starters, its refineries sit right on the edge of some of the largest, newly found oil-producing regions throughout the country. 

You see, with the advent of horizontal drilling and hydraulic fracturing ("fracking"), oil drillers are tapping resources that were previously unattainable. 

For the last few years these oil hot spots have been pumping out growing amounts of oil. In 2012, North Dakota increased ! its daily oil production by more than 250,000 barrels to a current 720,000 barrels per day, while Texas increased its output by about 500,000 barrels to a current 2.1 million barrels per day.

But with this growth has come with some unintended consequences. These midcontinent states have produced so much oil that they've actually created an oversupply in the middle of the country.

Of course, HollyFrontier has taken full advantage of this -- the abundance of oil and natural gas has helped the company post outstanding profits in recent years.

Today, HollyFrontier is one of the largest petroleum refiners in the United States. The Texas-based company's five refineries -- located in New Mexico, Oklahoma, Kansas, Utah, and Wyoming -- combine to refine around 443,000 barrels of crude oil per day.

Thanks to higher production, the company is able to buy crude at below-average prices, refine it, and then sell it at a significantly higher price. As a result, it's enjoying unprecedented success.

In 2012 it hit new records in total net income and earnings per share for its fourth year in a row. Most important, in the fourth quarter of 2012, its refinery gross margin was up to $24 a barrel, up 57% from the previous year's quarter.

On top of that, HollyFrontier has a $1.8 billion "Dividend Vault" and has shown a commitment to returning a large portion of it to shareholders. It paid four special dividends -- totaling $2 per share in 2012 -- to add to the quarterly dividend it also paid. 

And so far this year, it has raised its quarterly dividend 50%, from 20 cents to 30 cents per share, and has already paid a 50-cent special dividend. 

If you were to buy shares at today's price (at around $51), and the company pays a 50 cent per-share special dividend four times along with its normal quarterly dividends (as it has done since 2011), you would be collecting a yield of 6.2% on your shares by this time next year. 

With such a ! large &qu! ot;Dividend Vault," the company can easily afford it -- the company's chief executive, Mike Jennings, recently said he expects HollyFrontier "to continue to pay both regular and special dividends" going forward. 

Of course, nothing in investing is 100% certain. If U.S. oil production drops significantly, it would probably reduce HollyFrontier's margin advantage. This could cause profit margins to shrink and cause investors to punish the share price.

But with the shale revolution in full swing, oil production is only expected to rise over the next decade.

Action to Take --> I'll continue to keep my eye on HollyFrontier as well as the rest of the 13 "Dividend Vault" stocks. Together, these companies are expected to pay $30.9 billion in dividends this year alone, and I think investors who get in on this now will profit handsomely for years to come. To learn how to start collecting your share of the "Dividend Vault" today, click here.

Tuesday, December 23, 2014

The Point When I Realized I'd Rather Go Dutch Treat on Dates

Couple having a romantic dinner at the restaurant Andresr/Shutterstock Last year, some girlfriends and I met up for a glass of wine and started discussing (what else?) men. I don't recall how it came up, but my friend Sarah quipped emphatically, "I don't do Dutch treat." She went on to state that if a man wants to court her and enjoy her company, he should treat her. I was quite surprised. How could it be that two professional women in their mid-40s with investments in real estate and stocks could have such polar-opposite views on this subject? (You may wonder: Is Sarah is from the South? No, she's from New Jersey.) Don't Emasculate Your Date I often write about the advice my mother gave me when I started dating. My mother urged me to behave like Sarah; she said if I offered to pay on a date, I would emasculate the man. My mother had already been divorced twice when she gave me that tip. It made practical, economic sense to me that a man who had a higher income or more assets than I would be in the best position to pay for my meal. But as I progressed in my career (specifically when, at 26, I left a job in Washington, D.C., that paid $29,500 a year to become the youngest policy adviser to Oregon's governor, which paid $57,000 a year), most men my age made less than I did. My net worth was growing too, as I had already begun investing in the stock market and saving for retirement. In my late 20s, I went through a phase where I dated older men -- much older men. In those cases I didn't feel uncomfortable at all when they treated me. They were more established and had more money. One 50-year-old man even took me on a weekend trip to Canada. We enjoyed spending hours in Ottawa's Canadian Military Museum and drinking lattes at Second Cup. But I was never serious about these men, and they weren't serious about me, either. Equal in the Workplace and Equal in the Restaurant By the time I was 31 and had moved to San Diego for a job, I was making $110,000 a year. That's when my mindset changed. If I want to be treated equally in the workplace, why would I want to be treated unequally at a restaurant? From then on, when a man offered to treat, I'd always pull out my wallet. And if he refused to split the bill, I'd tell him that the next time was on me. And I meant it. Sarah's views aren't uncommon. In a 2013 research paper titled "Who Pays for Dates? Following versus Challenging Conventional Gender Norms," survey data shows that more than half of women claim they offer to help pay the bill when on a date -- but nearly half of those women secretly want men to reject their offers to pay. What really interested me in the survey was that nearly half of women were annoyed when men expected women to chip in. I asked my husband how he handled the bill issue when he dated women prior to me. "If I knew she made less money than I did, I would offer to treat," Dan said. But he soon followed with, "It's hard to treat someone like an equal partner when you're the one always footing the bill." My mother got to know Dan before she passed away. I'm sure she'd now agree that whatever I did financially in our relationship, it certainly didn't emasculate Dan the Man. More from Laurie Itkin
•As Wage Gap Persists, Maybe Women Should Marry for Money •3 Tips to Avoid Getting Sick on the Stock Market Roller Coaster •Alibaba Soared in Its IPO. Should You Buy It Now?

The Point When I Realized I'd Rather Go Dutch Treat on Dates

Couple having a romantic dinner at the restaurant Andresr/Shutterstock Last year, some girlfriends and I met up for a glass of wine and started discussing (what else?) men. I don't recall how it came up, but my friend Sarah quipped emphatically, "I don't do Dutch treat." She went on to state that if a man wants to court her and enjoy her company, he should treat her. I was quite surprised. How could it be that two professional women in their mid-40s with investments in real estate and stocks could have such polar-opposite views on this subject? (You may wonder: Is Sarah is from the South? No, she's from New Jersey.) Don't Emasculate Your Date I often write about the advice my mother gave me when I started dating. My mother urged me to behave like Sarah; she said if I offered to pay on a date, I would emasculate the man. My mother had already been divorced twice when she gave me that tip. It made practical, economic sense to me that a man who had a higher income or more assets than I would be in the best position to pay for my meal. But as I progressed in my career (specifically when, at 26, I left a job in Washington, D.C., that paid $29,500 a year to become the youngest policy adviser to Oregon's governor, which paid $57,000 a year), most men my age made less than I did. My net worth was growing too, as I had already begun investing in the stock market and saving for retirement. In my late 20s, I went through a phase where I dated older men -- much older men. In those cases I didn't feel uncomfortable at all when they treated me. They were more established and had more money. One 50-year-old man even took me on a weekend trip to Canada. We enjoyed spending hours in Ottawa's Canadian Military Museum and drinking lattes at Second Cup. But I was never serious about these men, and they weren't serious about me, either. Equal in the Workplace and Equal in the Restaurant By the time I was 31 and had moved to San Diego for a job, I was making $110,000 a year. That's when my mindset changed. If I want to be treated equally in the workplace, why would I want to be treated unequally at a restaurant? From then on, when a man offered to treat, I'd always pull out my wallet. And if he refused to split the bill, I'd tell him that the next time was on me. And I meant it. Sarah's views aren't uncommon. In a 2013 research paper titled "Who Pays for Dates? Following versus Challenging Conventional Gender Norms," survey data shows that more than half of women claim they offer to help pay the bill when on a date -- but nearly half of those women secretly want men to reject their offers to pay. What really interested me in the survey was that nearly half of women were annoyed when men expected women to chip in. I asked my husband how he handled the bill issue when he dated women prior to me. "If I knew she made less money than I did, I would offer to treat," Dan said. But he soon followed with, "It's hard to treat someone like an equal partner when you're the one always footing the bill." My mother got to know Dan before she passed away. I'm sure she'd now agree that whatever I did financially in our relationship, it certainly didn't emasculate Dan the Man. More from Laurie Itkin
•As Wage Gap Persists, Maybe Women Should Marry for Money •3 Tips to Avoid Getting Sick on the Stock Market Roller Coaster •Alibaba Soared in Its IPO. Should You Buy It Now?

Monday, December 22, 2014

Becoming Financially Independent: Habits to Make You A Millionaire

I'm a freelance journalist, currently living in Las Terrenas, Dominican Republic. I am here to share my tips on ways to save, invest or make money so you can get into the world, whether your destination is a few blocks or a few thousand miles away. I've been camping in Hong Kong and swimming in the Colorado River, have visited a skull cathedral in Hungary and am always planning my next destination. This page will cover a broad range of topics that deal with 'itchy-feet' syndrome - news oriented and experienced based advice for getting out of the office. My work has been featured in various publications including Techonomy and Executive Magazine. Prior to becoming a journalist, I was the senior manager of editorial publicity for Forbes.com. My work also appears on my blog, The Middle Of Time. If you have story ideas please email me: actalty [at] gmail.com or message me on Twitter.

Contact Alexandra Talty

The author is a Forbes contributor. The opinions expressed are those of the writer.

Sunday, December 21, 2014

Yellen: Job Market Keeps Fed Hesitant on Interest Rate Hike

Jackson Hole-Annual Conference John Locher/APFederal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen JACKSON HOLE, Wyoming -- If anyone thought Janet Yellen might clarify her view of the U.S. job market in her speech here Friday, the Federal Reserve chair had a message: The picture is still hazy. Though the unemployment rate has steadily dropped, Yellen suggested that other gauges of the job market have become harder to assess and may reflect persistent weakness. These include many people jobless for more than six months, millions working part time who want full-time jobs and weak pay growth. Yellen offered no clarity on the timing of the first interest rate increase, which most economists still expect by mid-2015. Investors had been anticipating any firmer sign from Yellen about whether an improving economy might prompt the Fed to act sooner than expected to start raising rates. She instead offered further uncertainty. Damage inflicted by the Great Recession had complicated the Fed's ability to assess the U.S. job market and made it harder to determine when to adjust rates, Yellen said. "Uncertainty is the key word," said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Economics. "Yellen is not about to leap from the fence at the next [Fed] meeting." Yellen said that for now, a broad assessment of the job market suggests that the economy still needs Fed support in the form of ultra-low rates and that inflation has yet to become a concern. "The assessment of labor market slack is rarely simple and has been especially challenging recently," Yellen said at the conference, which the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City sponsors each year at a lodge beside the majestic Grand Tetons. Yellen invoked language the Fed has used that record-low short-term rates will likely remain appropriate for a "considerable time" after the Fed stops buying bonds to keep long-term rates down. The bond buying is set to end this fall. Yellen stressed that the Fed's rate decisions will be dictated by the economy's performance. Repeating language from an appearance before Congress in July, Yellen said that if the economy improved faster than expected or if inflation heated up, rates could rise sooner. But she also said that if the economy under-performed, the Fed could delay its first rate hike. "Monetary policy is not on a preset course," she said. In a separate speech, Mario Draghi, head of the European Central Bank, said the ECB was prepared to do more to boost the shaky recovery in the 18 nations that use the euro. But he said governments must coordinate efforts to reduce persistently high unemployment. The ECB has cut rates and offered cheap loans to banks and is considering asset purchases to pump more money into Europe's economy. Draghi told the Jackson Hole conference that "we stand ready to adjust our policy stance further" if needed. But he offered no guidance on when such help might come. In her keynote address, Yellen suggested that pay gains for U.S. workers, which have been sluggish since the recession ended five years ago, could rise faster without necessarily igniting inflation. John Silvia, chief economist at Wells Fargo, said Yellen's remarks confirmed his view that the Fed's first rate increase will occur next June. "Yellen still wants more time to evaluate the data," he said. Silvia also said the speech hints that the Fed is "willing to take a little more inflation to achieve their labor market goals." If inflation were to top the Fed's target of 2 percent, "I don't think they're going to panic." This year's conference drew a pocket of demonstrators who shadowed Yellen and the other participants in the lobby of the lodge as they entered and left the invitation-only gathering. They sported green T-shirts and carried placards with the question, "What recovery?" Related to this year's conference theme of "Re-evaluating Labor Market Dynamics," Yellen's speech addressed the difficulty the Fed faces in trying to determine the relative health of the job market given the damage caused by the 2007-2009 recession. Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics, wrote in a research note that "despite the faster-than-expected decline in the unemployment rate, Yellen does not appear to have changed her view that there is still 'significant' slack in the labor market." Yellen's comments came two days after release of the minutes of the Fed's July 29-30 meeting. The minutes showed that officials engaged in an intensifying debate over whether to raise rates sooner than expected if the economy keeps strengthening. Some officials, the minutes said, thought the Fed would need "to call for a relatively prompt move" to begin raising short-term rates from record lows, where it has kept them since the financial crisis struck in 2008. Otherwise, they felt the Fed risked overshooting its targets for unemployment and inflation. In the end, the Fed made no changes at the July meeting. It approved, 9-1, maintaining its current stance on rates. But the minutes pointed to a distinct division among officials over the timing of an increase. That debate continued at Jackson Hole, with Fed officials expressing clashing views during a series of TV interviews. Charles Plosser, president of the Fed's Philadelphia regional bank, said he was uncomfortable with the Fed's policy statement that it expects to keep its key short-term rate unchanged for a "considerable time" after its bond purchases end. Plosser cast the lone dissenting vote at the July meeting. Dennis Lockhart, president of the Atlanta Fed, said in a CNBC interview Friday that he was "holding to the mid-2015" time period for the first rate hike but said this view could change if the economic data strengthens. Nicholas Colas, chief market strategist at the investment firm ConvergEx, said Yellen's speech did nothing to change his expectation that the Fed will begin to raise rates in the second quarter of 2015. "Janet Yellen is maintaining as much space for herself for policy flexibility as she possibly can," Colas said. "She's underlining how complex this is."

Friday, December 19, 2014

Dollar Higher As U.S. Winds Down

The U.S. Dollar is higher as U.S. winds down trading for the day.

Europe's Euro Currency EUR/USD was down 0.0062 at 1.2225, near the lows of the day and 12-month lows.

Australia's Dollar was down 0.0025 at 0.8142.

U.S. Dollar against Japan's Yen (USD/JPY) was higher by 0.56 at $119.51.

The U.K.'s British Pound was trading 0.0032 lower at 1.5635.

The U.S. Dollar versus the Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD) was 0.0016 higher at $1.1601.

March U.S. Dollar Futures were trading at $89.82, up 0.34.

Posted-In: Futures Commodities Forex Markets

© 2014 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

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Ford Adds 447,000 Cars Nationwide to Air Bag Recall

EARNS FORD Ric Francis/AP DETROIT -- Ford Motor Co. (F) has agreed to government demands to expand a driver's side air bag inflator recall to the entire U.S. The move announced Thursday adds 447,000 Ford vehicles to the list of those recalled due to driver's inflators made by Japan's Takata Corp. The inflators can explode with too much force, spewing shrapnel into drivers and passengers. Ford's action puts pressure on BMW and Chrysler, the only two automakers that haven't agreed to national recalls. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration made the demand of five automakers, saying the inflators are dangerous. Honda and Mazda already took their recalls national. Previously the recalls were limited to high-humidity states mainly along the Gulf Coast. The Ford national recall covers certain 2005 to 2008 Mustangs and 2005 and 2006 GT sports cars. The company also announced it would recall the same cars in Canada, Mexico and a few other countries. Thursday's announcement brings to just over 502,000 the number of Ford vehicles under recall for Takata driver's side air bags. The company said in a statement that it's aware of one accident with an injury that could be linked to the air bags. Dealers will replace the inflators at no cost to customers. Last month, NHTSA demanded that Takata and the five automakers recall driver's inflators across the nation. Takata and Chrysler have refused and could face legal action. BMW says it's still evaluating the demand. Expanded Recall Takata took out full-page advertisements in several newspapers including the Detroit Free Press on Thursday saying that it will work with NHTSA and automakers to expand the recalls by increasing production capacity for replacement air bags. The company said it's exploring whether other companies' air bags can be used in replacement kits. But in documents filed with NHTSA, Takata refused to do a national recall, saying it's not supported by testing data. The company also said NHTSA didn't have the authority to order a parts supplier to do a recall. The safety agency has threatened legal action if Takata and the remaining automakers don't comply with its demand. NHTSA has said the inflator propellant, ammonium nitrate, can burn faster than designed if exposed to prolonged airborne moisture. That can cause it to blow apart a metal canister meant to contain the explosion. The safety agency says there's no data to support a nationwide passenger air bag recall, which so far has been held to the high-humidity states. In total, 10 automakers have models with Takata air bags, which have been blamed for at least five deaths and multiple injuries worldwide. So far, automakers have recalled about 12 million vehicles in the U.S. and about 19 million globally for similar problems. U.S. recalls previously had been limited to Florida, Hawaii, Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands. But recently, under pressure from NHTSA, automakers have expanded them to include Saipan, Guam, American Samoa as well as Alabama, Georgia, Hawaii, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas -- all areas with average annual dew points of 60 degrees or higher. The dew point is the temperature at which moisture condenses out of the air. Copyright 2014 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed. More from The Associated Press
•Constantly Changing Prices Stump Online Bargain Hunters •Kraft Foods CEO to Retire; Chairman Named Successor •Market Wrap: Pledge from the Fed Sends Stocks Up

Wednesday, December 17, 2014

How to Turn Obsolete European Money into a Charity Windfall

Close-up image of obsolete monetary bank notes of various countries. Horizon International Images Limited / Alamy There is a lot of money -- billions of dollars worth -- hidden in cans, sock drawers, and boxes full of vacation photos. Money that if stumbled upon, most Americans would see as worthless due to the date on the calendar, and their current location. But enterprising people are going to find a way to collect these forgotten souvenirs and turn them into cash. One of them might be you, so let me fill you in on the details of how. In 2002, the euro replaced the sovereign notes and coins of 18 European Union states. After a short transition, marks, francs, lire, pesetas, guilders and other currencies were no longer accepted as legal tender. But let me let you in on a secret: Some of those bank notes and coins can still be converted into money you can spend. Austria, Belgium, Estonia, Germany, Ireland, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia and Spain will still convert their former currencies into euros without any fees. The Bundesbank -- the central bank for Germany, the biggest of these economies -- estimates that there are $13.31 billion in Deutsche Marks ($8.9 billion in U.S. dollars) in circulation. It they will convert any post-1948 Deutsche Marks to euros, for anyone, at a fixed rate of 1.96 DM per euro (the rate at the time of the 2002 switchover). You can even exchange your Deutsche Marks by mail. On the Trail of the Missing Cash Where are all those Deutsche Marks, and the rest of those pre-euro bills and coins? Though there are no studies nor hard evidence to prove it, my gut tells me that most likely the vast majority of that cash is in the United States. The provisions for the euro transition were established by the Maastricht Treaty in 1992, which meant that Europeans had 10 years before the conversion to adjust to the idea their native currencies would at some point no longer be welcome at the corner grocery store. In fact, those nations spent hundreds of millions of dollars in 2002 to education their populations about the need to exchange local currencies for euros. Common sense says that those people would have been the most aggressive in exchanging their money. They'd have had the most notice, the most convenient methods for conversion, and the most motivation. But even if you were to estimate that half the missing Marks are still in Europe, that leaves $4.23 billion still left unaccounted for. Outside of Europe, the United States is by far the largest source of tourism to Germany. In addition, it has the largest number of residents with German heritage outside of Germany, not to mention the largest foreign military presence in Germany. All those family members, servicemen and tourists were traveling to and from Germany, each time bringing back unspent pieces of that $4.23 billion. Even if 25 percent of those unspent travellers' Deutsche Marks went home with visitors from Asia and South America, you still end up with $3.23 billion somewhere in the U.S. It Takes a Village This begs the question of how to both find and gather this and other "obsolete" eurozone money, which is doubtless held in small amounts among millions of people, into large enough quantities to be profitable. And there is the rub. It is almost inconceivable to think that an individual could create a business that would be able to round up any serious fraction of that lost currency profitably. But, by using already established local and a national organizations, a lot of it might be able to find its way into charitable organizations. What if your local church, synagogue, school district, Kiwanis club or other charitable organization began a foreign money drive? Members could be encouraged to dig out those coins and bills, which are of virtually no value to them, and then using this "currency alchemy," create a windfall for a good cause. As of now, Portugal's redemption program is set to end in 2022 and the Netherlands' in 2032. Germany and the other European states listed above have stated that their redemption periods are "indefinite," but all have the right to end them without notice. If that happens, then those billions of dollars' worth of unaccounted for foreign currency will be worthless. The clock is ticking. More from Brian Lund
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