Saturday, February 28, 2015

Analysts Bullish On Towers Watson Following Liazon Acquisition

Towers Watson & Co. (TW) is down slightly today, but analysts are optimistic that the stock can climb higher, given its acquisition of privately held Liazon Corporation for $125 million.

Liazon develops private benefit exchanges and online benefit markets for employees, an area where human resources and benefit solutions provider Towers Watson has already built a name for itself.

Analysts are looking at the acquisition favorably, even if the market is skeptical today. Deutsche Bank analysts Paul Ginocchio and Ato Garrett today reiterated their Buy rating on Towers Watson and raised their target price by $5 to $130.

From the note:

TW has gotten more bullish on the adoption rate of exchanges: The adoption rate of exchanges is happening faster than TW expected just 6 months ago. TW agrees with forecasts of 35-70m covered lives (employees + dependents) on an exchange in 5-yrs. TW expects middle market companies to potentially adopt faster than large market companies, thus it has acquired Liazon to meet that need now. OneExchange Active will continue to focus on the large market (>10,000 employees) while Liazon focuses on the mid-market (1,000 to 10,000) via its insurance brokerage sales network.

Liazon should help TW close the gap in the active exchanges: On 1/1/14, TW will have about 140,000 lives on its two active exchange platforms (40,000 on OneExchange Active and 100,000 on Liazon) and is targeting up to 1m lives for 1/1/15. AON has stated it will have over 600,000 covered lives on its exchange on 1/1/14, Bucks (Xerox) will have 400,000 and Mercer 165,000. The Liazon acquisition moves TW's size much closer to Mercer and puts TW in a position to capture 25-33% market share longer-term.

MKM Partners is also bullish about Towers' prospects. Analysts Darren Marcus and Harry Fong reiterated a Buy rating and $140 price target on the stock writing: "While Towers had an existing presence in the active employee exchange market, its offering catered predominantly to larger companies with over 10,000 employees. The Liazon acquisition complements Towers' existing platforms as it gives Towers access to smaller and mid-sized companies. With Liazon, Towers' can service virtually every market segment with a self and fully insured exchange product. Towers Watson clearly believes in the potential for private exchanges and is willing to invest to ensure it has a major presence in this space in the years to come."

Analysts Bullish On Towers Watson Following Liazon Acquisition

Towers Watson & Co. (TW) is down slightly today, but analysts are optimistic that the stock can climb higher, given its acquisition of privately held Liazon Corporation for $125 million.

Liazon develops private benefit exchanges and online benefit markets for employees, an area where human resources and benefit solutions provider Towers Watson has already built a name for itself.

Analysts are looking at the acquisition favorably, even if the market is skeptical today. Deutsche Bank analysts Paul Ginocchio and Ato Garrett today reiterated their Buy rating on Towers Watson and raised their target price by $5 to $130.

From the note:

TW has gotten more bullish on the adoption rate of exchanges: The adoption rate of exchanges is happening faster than TW expected just 6 months ago. TW agrees with forecasts of 35-70m covered lives (employees + dependents) on an exchange in 5-yrs. TW expects middle market companies to potentially adopt faster than large market companies, thus it has acquired Liazon to meet that need now. OneExchange Active will continue to focus on the large market (>10,000 employees) while Liazon focuses on the mid-market (1,000 to 10,000) via its insurance brokerage sales network.

Liazon should help TW close the gap in the active exchanges: On 1/1/14, TW will have about 140,000 lives on its two active exchange platforms (40,000 on OneExchange Active and 100,000 on Liazon) and is targeting up to 1m lives for 1/1/15. AON has stated it will have over 600,000 covered lives on its exchange on 1/1/14, Bucks (Xerox) will have 400,000 and Mercer 165,000. The Liazon acquisition moves TW's size much closer to Mercer and puts TW in a position to capture 25-33% market share longer-term.

MKM Partners is also bullish about Towers' prospects. Analysts Darren Marcus and Harry Fong reiterated a Buy rating and $140 price target on the stock writing: "While Towers had an existing presence in the active employee exchange market, its offering catered predominantly to larger companies with over 10,000 employees. The Liazon acquisition complements Towers' existing platforms as it gives Towers access to smaller and mid-sized companies. With Liazon, Towers' can service virtually every market segment with a self and fully insured exchange product. Towers Watson clearly believes in the potential for private exchanges and is willing to invest to ensure it has a major presence in this space in the years to come."

Friday, February 27, 2015

5 Big Stocks to Trade for Big Gains: Must-See Charts

BALTIMORE (Stockpickr) -- All eyes are on Janet Yellen this morning, as she sits for the biggest job interview of her life: her confirmation hearing for the Fed chairmanship.

But she's not exactly shocking anyone with her testimony. Yellen is in favor of QE? She supports Bernanke's policies? The faucet stays on for another four years? Quelle surprise.

Still, stocks are getting boosted as investors salivate over the prospect of more cash flowing into the system. As a trader, who am I to judge? Instead, I'm taking a technical look at five big names that look tradable this week.

If you're new to technical analysis, here's the executive summary.

Technicals are a study of the market itself. Since the market is ultimately the only mechanism that determines a stock's price, technical analysis is a valuable tool even in the roughest of trading conditions. Technical charts are used every day by proprietary trading floors, Wall Street's biggest financial firms, and individual investors to get an edge on the market. And research shows that skilled technical traders can bank gains as much as 90% of the time.

Every week, I take an in-depth look at big names that are telling important technical stories. Here's this week's look at five high-volume stocks to trade this week.

PetroChina

First up is Chinese oil and gas giant PetroChina (PTR). Saying PetroChina has seen a rough 2013 is an understatement. Year-to-date, shares of the $203 billion firm have slipped more than 22% at the same time that the S&P 500 has been in rally mode. But shareholders could be in store for a reprieve this winter thanks to a bullish setup that's been forming in shares of late.

PetroChina is currently forming an ascending triangle bottom, a trading setup that's formed by a horizontal resistance level to the upside at $118 and uptrending support below shares. Basically, as PTR bounces between those two levels, it's getting squeezed closer and closer to a breakout above the $118 price ceiling. When that breakout happens, it's time to be a buyer.

Whenever you're looking at any technical price pattern, it's critical to think in terms of those buyers and sellers. Triangles and other pattern names are a good quick way to explain what's going on in a stock, but they're not the reason it's tradable. Instead, it all comes down to supply and demand for shares.

That $28 resistance level is a price where there has been an excess of supply of shares; in other words, it's a place where sellers had been more eager to step in and take gains than buyers were to buy. That's what makes this week's breakout above it so significant. The move means that buyers are finally strong enough to absorb all of the excess supply above that price level.

If you decide to take the Pandora trade, I'd recommend keeping a protective stop at the 50-day moving average.

Annaly Capital Management

There's no two ways about it: Annaly Capital Management (NLY) has gotten rocked this year. As I write, the $10 billion mortgage REIT is underperforming the S&P by 48% since the beginning of January. That's a pretty painful shortfall for investors -- but NLY could be near a turnaround right now.

That's because NLY is currently forming a double bottom pattern, a bullish reversal setup that's formed by two lows that bottom out around the same price level. They're separated by a breakout level to the upside at $12.25 -- a move through that price is our buy signal on this stock. As I write, NLY is still very close to the number-two bottom that it made just a few sessions ago, so while it's bullish that shares hit the brakes at their old support level, it's early to start getting too aggressive with this trade.

A move through $12.25 would be a pretty major trend reversal in NLY, but it's still a little while away. Still, the sheer underperformance at NLY means that it could try to play catch-up quickly. Put this trade in your watch list.

Discover Financial Services

The situation in shares of Discover Financial Services (DFS) is a little more pressing -- and you don't need to be an expert technical analyst to see why. This $25 billion payment network stock has been locked in a textbook uptrending channel since April, and with shares at support this week, it makes sense to buy the bounce.

The channel in DFS is important because it provides us with a high-probability range for shares to stay within both on the upside and the downside. More important, trendline support has halted shares' pullbacks perfectly on the last four touches of the level – now we're hitting touch No. 5. With a bounce in play in this morning's session, now's a perfect time to take on a position.

Buying off a support bounce makes sense for two big reasons: It's the spot where shares have the furthest to move up before they hit resistance, and it's the spot where the risk is the least (because shares have the least room to move lower before you know you're wrong). Remember, all trend lines do eventually break, but by actually waiting for the bounce to happen first, we're ensuring the DFS can actually still catch a bid along that line. Keep a tight stop in place under the channel if you decide to buy here.

Facebook

Hedge funds have been buying Facebook (FB) with both hands in the last quarter. But from a technical standpoint, it's starting to look like their timing could be off. Facebook has seen a stellar fun since the breakout back in July, but this stock is starting to look "toppy" now.

FB is currently forming a head and shoulders top, a bearish pattern that indicates exhaustion among buyers. The setup is formed by two swing highs that top out around the same level (the shoulders), separated by a higher high in between them (the head). The neckline, at $46 on the chart above, is the trigger level to watch. A slip below that neckline means that it's time to sell (or short) the social network.

RSI signaled a red flag for Facebook all the way back in September, when the uptrend in the momentum gauge stalled out and flipped to a downtrend. That was the signal that buying pressure was waning in shares -- a move through $46 is the signal that sellers are now in control.

To see this week's trades in action, check out this week's Must-See Charts portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Jonas Elmerraji in Baltimore.

Monday, February 16, 2015

Protests In Libya Boost Brent

Brent crude oil was higher on Tuesday morning after seeing its largest gain in over two weeks on Monday.

The commodity rose 2.5 percent on Monday and traded at $109.20 at 5:00 GMT on Tuesday morning as supply worries returned to the market.

CNBC reported that Libyan oil exports tumbled as the country lost its grip on containing labor riots that previously cut the nation's exports in half. Libyan government officials had made promising progress and reopened several of the nation's oilfields over the past month.

Related: #PreMarket Primer: Tuesday, October 29: Fed Meeting Likely Uneventful

However, over the weekend a fresh round of protests depressed exports to 90,000 barrels and boosted Brent prices by nearly $2 per barrel.

US industrial production data also supported crude prices as the number one oil consuming nation's industrial production figures had their largest jump in seven months. The data, from September, indicated that demand is picking up.

Moving forward, investors will be watching for progress between Iranian officials and six world powers as a two day meeting between the two sides is set to begin on Wednesday. Sanctions designed to cut funding to Iran's nuclear development program have kept about 1 million barrels of crude from the market over the past decade. With Iran and the West working toward a diplomatic solution to the longstanding dispute, oil prices have been under pressure. Should the two sides reach an agreement, the influx of supply would send Brent prices tumbling.

On Tuesday investors will also keep an eye on American Petroleum Institute data, due out at 20:30 GMT. Most are expecting the data to show that US oil inventories rose 3.2 million barrels last week.

Posted-In: American Petroleum InstituteNews Commodities Forex Global Pre-Market Outlook Markets Best of Benzinga

(c) 2013 Benzinga.com. Benzinga does not provide investment advice. All rights reserved.

  Around the Web, We're Loving... Learn to Use Trading Platforms Like Hedge Fund Traders do Rumsfeld: Denial of Benefits to Fallen Soldiers' Families 'Inexcusable' Come See How the Pro's Trade in this Exclusive Webinar Facebook, Baidu Lead Big Caps Beating Shutdown What Should You Know About AMZN? Most Popular Earnings Expectations For The Week Of October 28: Apple, Facebook, GM and More Apple Down 2% After Q4 Earnings Beat, 33.8 Million iPhones Sold Apple Earnings Preview: Were Nine Million iPhones Enough? (AAPL) CONSOL Energy Executes Agreement to Sell Five West Virginia Longwall Coal Mines and Related Assets for $3.5 Billion of Value; $850M in Cash; $184M in Future Payments Mystery Barge in San Francisco Bay Might Belong To Google UPDATE: Morgan Stanley Upgrades Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. on Potential of New Cancer Drugs Related Articles (BNO + BROAD) Protests In Libya Boost Brent Spread Between WTI And Brent Narrows Euro Holds On To Gains Despite Soft Data Euro Shrugs Off Weak PMI Data Brent Below $107 On Uncertainty In The US ECB Banking Tests To Be Harder Than Anticipated View the discussion thread. Partner Network #marketfy-ae-block { display: none; border: 2px solid #0a3f75; overflow: hidden; width: 300px; height: 125px; text-align: center; background-color: #45719E; position: relative; z-index: 1; } #marketfy-ae-block a { display: block; width: 300px; height: 125px; position: relative; z-index: 2; color: #ffffff; text-decoration: none; } #marketfy-ae-block-countdown-text { color: #f9fc99; padding: 0px 0 0 0; font-size: 19px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 19px; } #marketfy-ae-block-countdown-text-start { font-size: 12px; } #marketfy-ae-block-countdown { padding: 5px 0 5px 0; font-size: 26px; } #marketfy-ae-block-signup { padding: 5px 47px; } #marketfy-ae-block-signup:hover { background-color: #457a1a; } #marketfy-ae-block #marketfy-ae-block-logo { display: block; padding: 3px 0 0 0; margin: 0; } #marketfy-ae-block-logo { text-indent: -9999px; } #marketfy-ae-block-free { display: block; position: absolute; top: 7px; right: -23px; width: 80px; height: 16px; line-height: 16px; text-align: center; opacity: 1; -webkit-transform: rotate(45deg); -moz-transform: rotate(45deg); -ms-transform: rotate(45deg); transform: rotate(45deg); font-size: 13px; font-weight: normal; color: #333333; background-color: yellow; z-index: 500; text-shadow: 1px 1px #999999; } #marketfy-ae-block-arrow { position: relative; width: 60px; height: 60px; z-index: 10; margin: -80px 0 13px -21px; } #marketfy-ae-block-arrow img { height: 60px; width: auto; } Marketfy's International
Traders & Investors Summit Register for this FREE Event!

Friday, February 13, 2015

5 Things You Really Need to Know About Bonds Right Now

United States Savings BondsGetty Images Most investors believe that the stock market is the riskiest way to invest. But as many investors have learned the hard way lately, even supposedly safe investments like bonds can create losses in your portfolio. For years, the Federal Reserve has done everything it could to keep interest rates low. But now that the Fed has started thinking about plans to cut back on some of the methods it has used to reduce rates, the bond market has suffered big declines, with losses of 10 percent or more for some types of bonds. Here are five things you need to understand about bonds in order to make sure rising rates don't cause you any further nasty surprises. 1. Rising Interest Rates Hurt Bond Prices Many bond investors make the mistake of thinking that rising yields on bonds are a good thing. That's true for new investors, as newly issued bonds will carry higher interest rates than older bonds. But if you already own bonds, rising yields cause your bonds' value to fall. That's because as new bonds with higher rates come out, your lower-rate bond looks less attractive by comparison, and so buyers aren't willing to pay as much for your bonds, causing their prices to drop. 2. Longer-Term Bonds Move More When Rates Change Typically, investors can get higher rates by buying long-term bonds. For instance, 30-year Treasury bonds pay almost 4 percent right now, compared to about 0.5 percent for two-year Treasuries. The tradeoff, though, is that yield increases hurt the value of long-term bonds a lot more than short-term bonds. The reason: The longer you're locked into a relatively low rate, the more interest you lose from being stuck with that bond. By contrast, even if rates rise substantially on a bond that matures within a few months, you won't lose much value because you'll soon be able to take your money at maturity and reinvest it in a higher-rate bond. That's one reason why so many analysts have advised bond investors to focus on shorter-term bonds lately. 3. Individual Bonds Have One Big Edge Over Bond Funds Most investors buy bond funds for diversification rather than individual bonds. With bond funds, you can get exposure to dozens or even hundreds of different bonds even if you only have a modest amount to invest. To buy that many individual bonds, it would cost you tens or even hundreds of thousands of dollars. However, one attractive feature of individual bonds is that even if their market value declines due to interest-rate rises, individual bonds eventually recover to their full par value at maturity. For bond funds, on the other hand, capital losses can be permanent because most bond-fund managers typically buy and sell bonds rather than holding them to maturity. 4. Municipal Bonds: Attractive Yields with Tax Benefits Within the bond market, different niches have had varying results. Municipal bonds have seen an especially large run-up in yields, and right now, 30-year municipal bonds have yields that are almost a full percentage point above comparable Treasury yields. What's particularly unusual about the current muni-bond environment is that munis usually have yields than Treasuries. That's because muni interest is exempt from federal tax, providing even greater after-tax returns than taxable Treasuries and other bonds. The recent Detroit bankruptcy has highlighted the risks of muni-bond investing, but high yields make that risk worth it for many investors, especially if you're in a high tax bracket. 5. Inflation-Protected Bonds Can Still Lose Value Most bonds are vulnerable to inflation. That's one reason why inflation-protected bonds like Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, aka TIPS, have become popular. Yet the rise in bond yields lately hasn't come from inflation fears but rather from the Fed's anticipated policy changes. As a result, TIPS yields have also risen, causing big price declines in them as well. Be Careful With Bonds Having bonds in your portfolio still makes sense for most investors who can't afford to take on the full risk of the stock market and other riskier assets with their entire portfolio. By keeping these five things in mind, you can do your best to minimize any losses and take advantage of opportunities as they arise.

Primarily covering the energy and natural resources sectors, master limited partnerships take advantage of favorable tax laws to distribute cash to investors in a tax-efficient way. Recently, the need for pipelines and other energy infrastructure to transport huge, newly-discovered oil and natural gas reserves has helped MLPs like Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (KMP) and Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) to grow substantially while paying distribution yields of between 4 percent and 6 percent. Many MLPs pay even higher yields, however, and with those payouts often being tax-advantaged, you'll potentially lose less of your income to Uncle Sam. The downside: MLPs can make your tax preparation a lot harder, as complicated reporting requirements make them harder to deal with than an ordinary stock investment.

1. Master Limited Partnerships

Another tax-law provision gives favorable tax status to real-estate investment trusts. REITs make investments in real estate-related assets, and they're required to pay out almost all their income to their shareholders annually. Simon Property Group (SPG) is one of the biggest REITs, focusing on shopping malls and paying a 3 percent yield. But other specialty areas of the REIT universe pay much higher dividends, with REITs like Annaly Capital (NLY) that invest in mortgage-backed securities topping the list with double-digit percentage yields.

Tuesday, February 10, 2015

Foolish Reviews: Our Favorite Android Phone(s)

The high end of the cell phone market is a lucrative, but highly competitive space. Consumers have fairly straightforward choices when it comes to iPhones or Windows devices, but there are more confusing choices among the Android phones.

In this multipart review series, Motley Fool analysts Eric Bleeker and Rex Moore look at three of the Android giants: the HTC One, Nexus 4, and Samsung Galaxy S4, and how they stack up against each other as well as the non-Android competition. In today's video, Eric and Rex do a quick feature comparison and give their bottom line on the best Android phone for your money.

Dialing a different tune
Want to get in on the smartphone phenomenon? Truth be told, one company sits at the crossroads of smartphone technology as we know it. It's not your typical household name, either. In fact, you've probably never even heard of it! But it stands to reap massive profits NO MATTER WHO ultimately wins the smartphone war. To find out what it is, click here to access The Motley Fool's latest free report: "One Stock You Must Buy Before the iPhone-Android War Escalates Any Further..."

Monday, February 9, 2015

Monday's Top Upgrades (and Downgrades)

This series, brought to you by Yahoo! Finance, looks at which upgrades and downgrades make sense, and which ones investors should act on. Today, our headlines feature a big new buy rating for Tesla Motors (NASDAQ: TSLA  ) , an even bigger sell for Joy Global (NYSE: JOY  ) , and a slightly higher caloric content for Cheesecake Factory (NASDAQ: CAKE  ) . Let's dig in.

First up: Tesla
Elon Musk's popular electric car company won another endorsement Monday when analysts at Global Equities initiated coverage of the stock with an "overweight" (i.e., buy) rating. With the stock already up more than 200% over the past year, Global sees Tesla hitting the gas (figuratively speaking) again this year, and roaring ahead to $150 a share. But is that realistic?

After all, unprofitable based on its trailing-12-months' results, Tesla already sells for more than 100 times what it's expected to earn next year. Global-E's new price target suggests that a 150 times multiple to those expected earnings is more appropriate. And yet, that's nearly five times the 33% long-term average annual profits growth rate that analysts project for Tesla stock -- a rate it's hard to ascribe real meaning to, given that Tesla doesn't currently have any profits to grow.

Free cash flow at the firm... well, there isn't any of that, either. Rather, Tesla burned through more than $380 million in negative FCF over the past year, so it's actually burning cash even faster than it can tally up the burn and report it as GAAP losses.

Long story short, seeing as Tesla has tripled in price despite losing money over the past year, there's every reason to suspect Global Equities is right, and the stock will tack on 50% more in stock price gains over the coming year. It doesn't mean that investors should pay these high prices, however -- because eventually, reality is going to catch up, and even this electric car stock will run out of gas.

No Joy
Relative to Tesla's cash-burning ways, you might think Wall Street would love a free-cash-flow-positive company like Joy Global a bit more -- but you'd be wrong. This morning, analysts at Axiom Capital initiated coverage of the mining equipment maker with a sell rating, and for one simple reason: The worm has turned on the mining supercycle.

As Axiom explains, "global mining CAPEX grew more than +27% compounded during the last mining supercycle ('01-to-'12)." But it's expected "to fall an unprecedented -19% compounded '12-to-'15 due mainly to deteriorating commodity market fundamentals." Axiom notes that Joy's sales tend to closely approximate gains and losses in overall global mining equipment spending -- on the order of 98% correlation. As a result, what's true for the global industry should be true for Global as well -- and this means a steep, sustained falloff in revenues over the next few years. Axiom notes that last time the mining industry got unpopular, Joy, "known then as Harnischfeger Industries ... went bankrupt."

Ominous words indeed. But you don't even have to buy this doomsday scenario to know that all is not well with Joy Global.

Right now, Joy's generating real cash profits of only $0.32 for every $1 it reports in earnings. So while the stock may look attractive at a "P/E" ratio of less than 8, it looks less attractive when viewed as a 24 price-to-free cash flow stock. With long-term earnings growth projected at 9% over the next five years, the stock looks overpriced to me. If Axiom's right, and earnings go down 19% annually, instead of up 9%, the stock could be even riskier than it already looks.

May I see the dessert menu, please?
So... sour news all around so far. Let's end, then, with something a bit sweeter. Cheesecake Factory scored a hike in price target from analysts at Miller Tabak today. Miller's saying the stock, currently priced under $42 a share, is worth closer to $45 -- and recommends buying it.

I don't agree necessarily, but I'm at least not as worried about this stock falling as I am about Tesla and Joy. Here's why:

Priced at 22 times earnings, Cheesecake Factory looks expensive for its 14% growth estimates. But the stock's not quite as bad as it looks. Unlike Tesla, and unlike Joy Global, Cheesecake generates more free cash flow -- $114 million -- than it reports as net income -- just $103 million. It's also got a rock-solid balance sheet, showing $31 million more cash than debt, and to top it all off, Cheesecake Factory pays its shareholders a modest 1.2% dividend.

Mix it all together, stir well, and bake at 350 degrees for 15 minutes and here's what I think you get: Cheesecake Factory stock costs about 18.5 times the amount of cash it generates in a year. Between the dividend and the growth rate, I think it's modestly overpriced today. I'd want to see the stock price fall by about 20% or so before buying in at current growth estimates, or else I'd want to see evidence that the company can keep growing at the 22% rate it grew profits last quarter -- sustainably, and over a multiyear time frame.

In short, the stock's not well-enough "done" for my taste right now, but reset the timer and check back in a few weeks. So far, this is the most appetizing analyst rating Wall Street has put on the menu today.

Fool contributor Rich Smith has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Tesla Motors. The Motley Fool owns shares of Tesla Motors.

link

Sunday, February 8, 2015

2 Stocks to Watch Right Now

The following video is from Wednesday's Investor Beat, in which host Chris Hill and analysts Jason Moser and Tim Hanson dissect the hardest-hitting investing stories of the day.

In this installment, Motley Fool One analyst Jason Moser explains why he's watching Joy Global (NYSE: JOY  ) . And Motley Fool Asset Management's Tim Hanson explains why he's watching Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM  ) .

The retail space is in the midst of the biggest paradigm shift since mail order took off at the turn of the last century. Only those most forward-looking and capable companies will survive, and they'll handsomely reward those investors who understand the landscape. You can read about the 3 Companies Ready to Rule Retail in The Motley Fool's special report. Uncovering these top picks is free today; just click here to read more.

The relevant video segment can be found between 4:44 and 6:18.

Saturday, February 7, 2015

Coach: Stepping into shoes

Geoffrey SeilerFor its latest quarter, Coach (COH) posted a profit of $238.9 million, or 84 cents per share, compared with $225.0 million, or 77 cents a share, a year earlier. While the company is known for its handbags, its first quarter was all about shoes.

The results topped Wall Street forecasts by 4 cents per share. Revenue rose 7% to $1.19 billion, just ahead of the $1.18 billion Wall Street consensus.

The company's conference call certainly confirmed that shoes were selling well. North American Retail President Michael Tucci said, "In March, we relaunched shoes in 170 retail stores in North America."


Tucci explained, "The response from consumers has been extremely positive as the business in these footwear locations went from about 3% to almost 12% of the business."

Why this is so important is that it is solid evidence that the company can transform itself into a full-fledged lifestyle brand and not be solely reliant on handbags, where it has been losing some market share.

Given this, we would be more bullish on Coach despite the big jump in the stock price following the quarterly report.

The stock is still cheap and well off its highs, and if the company can successfully move beyond handbags and into shoes and other fashion areas, then it's looking at a much bigger addressable market, paving the way for a lot of potential growth.

It's still early, but the initial evidence is signaling that the Coach brand is strong enough to make this transition.

Friday, February 6, 2015

Market Wrap-up for Oct. 31 – Wrapping Up October’s Final Week

We are now wrapping up the final day and week of October. This week, there were both tricks and treats for investors as mixed earnings reports were released and various economic reports impacted the market.

Monday

We started the week with lower results from Merck (MRK), followed by a turbulent trading day as energy stocks took center stage. Despite the rocky results in the energy industry, investors were given good news regarding Sunday's ECB Stress Test results.

After hours, the market's eyes were on Twitter (TWTR), which posted a disappointing revenue outlook, sending the stock plunging.

Tuesday

Wall Street started Tuesday off with several notable earnings releases:

Coach (COH) – Reported lower Q3 results, but beat analysts’ estimates. Shares increased. BP plc (BP) – Posted lower Q3 results and increased its dividend. Pfizer (PFE) – Reported higher earnings, but a decline in revenue. Beat estimates. DuPont (D) – Profits rose and beat estimates. Revenue declined and fell short of expectations.

Before the market opened, the Durable Goods Orders report was released, posting a 1.3% decline in September. In addition, the Case Shiller Index posted the slowest year-over-year gains in home prices in nearly two years.

On the upside, consumer confidence was up in October. The combination of the positive report and good earnings resulted in a market rally.

After hours, we saw several earnings. Notably, Facebook (FB) reported positive earnings, but shares collapsed on outlook concerns.

Wednesday

A few notable earnings started the day off on Wednesday:

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) – Reported higher revenues, but a decline in net income. Results beat estimates. Southern Company (SO) – Revenue increased, while net income dipped. Results beat estimates. Phillips 66 (PSX) –  Posted higher net income and revenue, which exceeded expectations.

The market trended downward, and losses began to accelerate after the FOMC meeting, which indicated that QE is expected to end on November 1. The central bank noted that QE will no longer be necessary due to the strong labor market.

Kraft (KRFT)  and Visa (V) reported better than expected results after hours.

Thursday

In Thursday’s pre-market, we saw several big-name earnings released:

Altria (MO) – Reported higher earnings, but a dip in revenue. Beat analysts’ expectations. ConocoPhillips (COP) – Reported increased net income that beat analysts’ views. Time Warner Cable (TWC) – Revenue increased, but earnings dipped. Missed analysts’ estimates. Mastercard (MA) – Posted higher Q3 results, which beat estimates. Shares soared. Kellogg Company (K) – Revenue and earnings fell. Earnings beat estimates, while revenue fell short of expectations.

The Dow jumped as Visa (V) gained over 10% from its positive earnings. The market was also given optimistic news from the GDP report, which rose 3% in the third quarter. The Jobless Claims report a